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Sunday, July 24, 2016
Big Brother Week 4 Recap and Update and Announcement
Posted Wednesday, July 20, at 12:10 PM
Tomorrow I am headed to Nebraska for some reunions and a concert. Since I will be out of town for the Thursday eviction show, the Friday fight back show for the first five eliminated and the Sunday recap show I am going to do my rankings and recaps early this week...

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Week 9 General Election Projection
Posted Friday, July 15, at 7:57 PM

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Big Brother Week 3 Recap and Update
Posted Thursday, July 14, at 4:26 PM

So this week has been a rollercoaster on the feeds. The only thing that is for sure is that the majority of the house now want Frank out of the house as his rough housing went to far with Da'Vonne. He threw his game off the rails but a couple of the house mates have helped but stretching the truth about what is going on. ...

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Week 8 General Election Projection
Posted Friday, July 8, at 10:19 PM

Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com Several new polls in different states came out this week and a very clear trend is appearing. Trump is losing ground. In order for him to have a chance of beating Clinton he would at the very least need to pick up Ohio, Florida, and North Carolina and not loose any states...

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Big Brother Week 2 Recap and Update
Posted Thursday, July 7, at 11:07 AM

In the official second week of Big Brother a lot of changes have taken place. Tiffany somehow managed to go from completely under the radar to someone with a target placed squarely on her back. Essentially what caused this was Victor won the Roadkill challenge and put her on the block and she got super paranoid and was convinced that the 8-pack were going to evict. This was never their plan but with her actions it almost became the plan...

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Donald J. Trump is Dangerous for America
Posted Sunday, July 3, at 9:29 PM

I am really angry at the prospect of having one of the least qualified individuals become our next President. Donald J. Trump is simply a horrible little bully whose exploits may work on Fox News but hopefully the American people will see his 8th grade mentality...

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Week 7 General Election Projection
Posted Friday, July 1, at 7:45 PM

Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com The only change in this week's map is that I have moved Georgia into the Likely Trump category. He continues to lead in the state and the last poll out had Trump up by nine. Nate Silver and the team at fivethirtyeight.com have shifted their focus onto the general election. ...

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Big Brother Week 1 Update
Posted Thursday, June 30, at 5:56 PM

In an effort to expand out what I write about and to make the name of my blog make a little more sense I am going to be writing several different blogs this summer and into the fall. Just to give you a brief round-up of when to expect new blogs every Thursday I will writer a blog on the previous week of CBS' Big Brother including what has happened on the show, who was evicted (will also update current blog with that info), who won Head of Household (HOH), who was nominated to be evicted, who won the secret HOH (cannot remember the name at this moment), who was nominated from that, who won Power of Veto (POV), and rankings.. ...

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Week 6 General Election Projection
Posted Friday, June 24, at 9:10 PM

Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com A new week gives us a new state with a poll. This time around it is Utah. As you can see above, for the time being Utah is moving from a safe pickup for Trump a likely. The reason being is because there are now more polls for the state and it is proving, right now at least, to be much closer than the experts believe...

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Weeks 4&5 2016 General Election Projection
Posted Friday, June 17, at 8:11 PM

Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com I have decided to change up the way I am doing the projections so you will notice some changes. In addition to using pollster.com for my projections I have now also added in rearclearpolitics.com. Once 538.com shifts their focus to the general election I will also use theirs in a combination to show the most exact (as possible) projection possible...

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How the Polls Performed Part 2 - Democrats
Posted Wednesday, June 8, at 2:51 PM

So, now that the Democratic Primaries have wrapped up it is time to look at how the polls performed on this side. The same questions have been brought up in both the Republican and Democratic primaries about whether the polls were a good predictor or not...

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Final Super Tuesday Primary
Posted Tuesday, June 7, at 11:54 AM

We have made it all the way to the end of the primary season. Despite what the media tells you neither race has a presumptive candidate yet. Donald Trump has not yet hit the magic number of pledged delegates though he will hit it today. He is currently sitting at 1,144 delegates and needs to reach 1,237 to clinch the nomination. Hillary Clinton also has not reached the magic number. She currently has 1,811 delegates and needs to reach 2,026 pledged delegates to clinch the nomination...

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Week 3 2016 General Election Projection
Posted Saturday, June 4, at 6:01 PM

Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com A new week and a new change. After losing North Carolina last week in the polling to Trump, Clinton gains Missouri just slightly over Trump. The available polls are below: Missouri: Trump goes from up 5 to down 2. There have only been three polls released in the state but for now it will be a lean Hillary state...

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Week 2 2016 General Election Projection
Posted Monday, May 30, at 9:16 PM

Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com Just a quick update. Out of the toss up states only one has seen a change and that's North Carolina. Last week North Carolina was a slated as a safe state for Clinton. One week, and two polls later, and the state has now gone into the lean Trump category...

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Week 1 2016 General Election Projection
Posted Wednesday, May 18, at 6:24 PM

Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com Now that is all but a certainty that the match-up this November will be between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump I am going to attempt to post an update every week. Initially it will be a little slow going as we still only have a handful of states doing polling at this time...

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Oregon and Kentucky Primaries
Posted Tuesday, May 17, at 2:00 PM

There is not a lot to say about the two primaries today as there has been virtually no polling in either state. Experts believe that Sanders should win Oregon in a route, similar to Washington, Alaska, and Hawaii. They also give him the edge in Kentucky due to the demographics...

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How the Polls Performed
Posted Wednesday, May 11, at 3:33 PM

Many people have lamented the bad polling in the primaries for both parties this year. I am counted among those. Where I differed is that many who believed that polling had proved to be wrong were of the believe that Donald Trump had severely been under represented in the polls (in other words that his actual number in the primaries were much higher than what the polling suggested)...

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West Virginia Primary
Posted Tuesday, May 10, at 11:37 AM

We are down to just one race; the Democratic Primary between Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton. Or are we? There have been rumors swirling that if Ted Cruz wins Nebraska today he would restart his presidential campaign. I personally doubt it either way but it would make for a great story...

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A Way to Early Look at the 2016 General Election
Posted Thursday, May 5, at 2:46 PM

Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com First things first, the general election is still half a year away. Donald Trump is the presumptive nominee of the Republican Party after John Kasich and Ted Cruz dropped out of the race. Hillary Clinton is in the lead of the Democratic Party so this is going to be a cursory glance at the probable match up for the 2016 General Election...

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Indiana Primary
Posted Monday, May 2, at 5:47 PM

This week is an extremely light week of primaries with Republicans only having the Indiana primary and Democrats having the Indiana primary and the Guam primary on Saturday. There are 57 delegates up for grabs in Indiana. This is a winner take all contest so whoever wins, whether it is by 1 point or 20 gets all of the delegates. There are 92 delegates up for grabs for Democrats in Indiana and 12 in Guam...

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And Now for Something Completely Different
Michael Hendricks
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