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Wednesday, May 25, 2016
Week 1 2016 General Election Projection
Posted Wednesday, May 18, at 6:24 PM
Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com Now that is all but a certainty that the match-up this November will be between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump I am going to attempt to post an update every week. Initially it will be a little slow going as we still only have a handful of states doing polling at this time...

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Oregon and Kentucky Primaries
Posted Tuesday, May 17, at 2:00 PM

There is not a lot to say about the two primaries today as there has been virtually no polling in either state. Experts believe that Sanders should win Oregon in a route, similar to Washington, Alaska, and Hawaii. They also give him the edge in Kentucky due to the demographics...

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How the Polls Performed
Posted Wednesday, May 11, at 3:33 PM

Many people have lamented the bad polling in the primaries for both parties this year. I am counted among those. Where I differed is that many who believed that polling had proved to be wrong were of the believe that Donald Trump had severely been under represented in the polls (in other words that his actual number in the primaries were much higher than what the polling suggested)...

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West Virginia Primary
Posted Tuesday, May 10, at 11:37 AM

We are down to just one race; the Democratic Primary between Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton. Or are we? There have been rumors swirling that if Ted Cruz wins Nebraska today he would restart his presidential campaign. I personally doubt it either way but it would make for a great story...

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A Way to Early Look at the 2016 General Election
Posted Thursday, May 5, at 2:46 PM

Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com First things first, the general election is still half a year away. Donald Trump is the presumptive nominee of the Republican Party after John Kasich and Ted Cruz dropped out of the race. Hillary Clinton is in the lead of the Democratic Party so this is going to be a cursory glance at the probable match up for the 2016 General Election...

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Indiana Primary
Posted Monday, May 2, at 5:47 PM

This week is an extremely light week of primaries with Republicans only having the Indiana primary and Democrats having the Indiana primary and the Guam primary on Saturday. There are 57 delegates up for grabs in Indiana. This is a winner take all contest so whoever wins, whether it is by 1 point or 20 gets all of the delegates. There are 92 delegates up for grabs for Democrats in Indiana and 12 in Guam...

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April Super Tuesday
Posted Monday, April 25, at 10:39 PM

April 26 is the biggest day of primaries in April. There are four contests in both parties consisting of Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Connecticut, Maryland, and Delaware. The Democratic primary continues its slugfest down the stretch. At this point in the Republican primary Donald Trump is the only candidate that can reach the nomination before the convention. ...

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New York Primary
Posted Monday, April 18, at 10:39 AM

Tomorrow marks among the biggest primary gains for both parties in a single contest. On the Republican side there are 95 delegates up for grabs, while on the Democratic side 247 delegates are up for grabs. I have been keeping track of the delegates all season long and after looking at several different places that also keep track of the delegate count I have decided to match my delegate count as close to www.fivethirtyeight.com as possible. ...

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Wisconsin Primary
Posted Tuesday, April 5, at 8:49 AM

Today is the day that we see if the Bernie Roll continues or is stopped in it's tracks. Today will also see if Ted Cruz can mount a serious campaign against Donald Trump and close his gap. First, however, just some housecleaning when it comes to the delegate count. I have put all of the delegates down to make sure that I am reporting them to you as correct as possible...

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Feel the Bern
Posted Tuesday, March 29, at 10:30 AM

So, today (with a week before the next primary), I have decided to endorse Bernie Sanders for President. Looking at the five remaining candidates the two Democrats stand the best chance of becoming president. Both Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders defeat the Republicans with ease in polling that has been performed. ...

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Primary Housecleaning
Posted Sunday, March 27, at 5:30 PM

With this week being an off week for both parties (the next primary is the Wisconsin primary on April 5. North Dakota is technically up next for the Republicans on April 3 but since their delegates are not bound until the convention it does not got into the totals) I have decided to do a little housecleaning with the current delegates to make sure that everything is as up to date as possible...

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The Last March Primaries
Posted Monday, March 21, at 10:34 PM

Tuesday, March 22 and Saturday, March 26 mark the last primaries for the month of March. The Republicans have two while the Democrats have six. First, a little house cleaning. The vote has finally come in from Democrats Abroad and Bernie Sanders has his most decisive win yet. He won the vote 69-31% with Bernie picking up 9 delegates to Clinton's 4...

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The Case Against Trump and Cruz
Posted Sunday, March 20, at 10:29 PM

With the primary season about to come to a crawl as there is not a lot of delegates to hand out in April as compared to what we have seen in March and what is coming in June I thought I would delve into some of the politics. Republicans in the remaining states have a very difficult choice to make in the coming months. ...

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Super Tuesday Part Deux Results
Posted Thursday, March 17, at 2:18 AM

Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump won big on Tuesday but the only thing we actually found out was that Marco Rubio after being beaten handily in his home state dropped out of the race. I am going to try something a little different with this results with hopes that it will be a little clearer and neater. ...

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Super Tuesday Part Deux
Posted Monday, March 14, at 6:57 PM

Tomorrow is Tuesday which must mean another day of primaries. Not only that, this Tuesday's primaries have enough delegates available on both sides that the current leaders can take a demanding lead or those behind can make some serious damage to the leaders...

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The M Primaries
Posted Monday, March 7, at 12:19 PM

I call this weeks slate of primaries the M primaries because the two major primaries are Michigan and Mississippi on the 8th. The Republicans have more at stake this week as including the two above primaries they have a primary in Idaho as well as caucuses in Hawaii and DC. Guam has a convention but it's delegates are unbound so nothing will be awarded until the convention. There will also be results from the US Virgin Islands...

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The Unknown Primaries
Posted Friday, March 4, at 11:12 PM

There will be six total primaries and caucuses over the next two days and there is very little polling data for any of them. On tap for Saturday are the Kansas Caucuses for both parties, the Kentucky caucus for the Republicans, the Louisiana primaries for both parties, the Maine caucus for the Republicans, and the Nebraska caucus for the Democrats...

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Super Tuesday Results
Posted Wednesday, March 2, at 4:33 PM

As predicted neither front runner was able to deliver a knock out punch. Of the two Clinton came the closest but Bernie still has life as I will explain. I was way off on Rubio who I believed on the polling was rising and would be able to secure enough second place finishes to challenge Trump. ...

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Super Tuesday
Posted Monday, February 29, at 11:10 PM

We are here. Super Tuesday or what the media is calling SEC Primaries because some of the states have teams in the Southeastern Conference and that really seems to be the only reason. Two things are clear going into tomorrow; If Hillary can follow up her dominant performance in South Carolina with dominating performances tomorrow the Democratic primary is all but hers. ...

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The Caucus System Needs To Go
Posted Tuesday, February 23, at 7:48 PM

There are several issues our elections face today; from the outdated two party system, outside money, the super rich and super pacs getting involved in politics. What I am writing about today is the caucus system that both the Republican and Democratic parties employ during their primary season. Currently, roughly 14 states (including Nebraska), DC, and all territories vote using this system...

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And Now for Something Completely Different
Michael Hendricks
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Hot topics
Week 1 2016 General Election Projection
(0 ~ 6:24 PM, May 18)

A Way to Early Look at the 2016 General Election
(8 ~ 5:25 PM, May 18)

Oregon and Kentucky Primaries
(0 ~ 4:37 PM, May 18)

West Virginia Primary
(11 ~ 5:01 PM, May 11)

How the Polls Performed
(0 ~ 3:33 PM, May 11)