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Friday, July 1, 2016
Big Brother Week 1 Update
Posted Thursday, June 30, at 5:56 PM
In an effort to expand out what I write about and to make the name of my blog make a little more sense I am going to be writing several different blogs this summer and into the fall. Just to give you a brief round-up of when to expect new blogs every Thursday I will writer a blog on the previous week of CBS' Big Brother including what has happened on the show, who was evicted (will also update current blog with that info), who won Head of Household (HOH), who was nominated to be evicted, who won the secret HOH (cannot remember the name at this moment), who was nominated from that, who won Power of Veto (POV), and rankings.. ...

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Week 6 General Election Projection
Posted Friday, June 24, at 9:10 PM

Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com A new week gives us a new state with a poll. This time around it is Utah. As you can see above, for the time being Utah is moving from a safe pickup for Trump a likely. The reason being is because there are now more polls for the state and it is proving, right now at least, to be much closer than the experts believe...

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Weeks 4&5 2016 General Election Projection
Posted Friday, June 17, at 8:11 PM

Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com I have decided to change up the way I am doing the projections so you will notice some changes. In addition to using pollster.com for my projections I have now also added in rearclearpolitics.com. Once 538.com shifts their focus to the general election I will also use theirs in a combination to show the most exact (as possible) projection possible...

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How the Polls Performed Part 2 - Democrats
Posted Wednesday, June 8, at 2:51 PM

So, now that the Democratic Primaries have wrapped up it is time to look at how the polls performed on this side. The same questions have been brought up in both the Republican and Democratic primaries about whether the polls were a good predictor or not...

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Final Super Tuesday Primary
Posted Tuesday, June 7, at 11:54 AM

We have made it all the way to the end of the primary season. Despite what the media tells you neither race has a presumptive candidate yet. Donald Trump has not yet hit the magic number of pledged delegates though he will hit it today. He is currently sitting at 1,144 delegates and needs to reach 1,237 to clinch the nomination. Hillary Clinton also has not reached the magic number. She currently has 1,811 delegates and needs to reach 2,026 pledged delegates to clinch the nomination...

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Week 3 2016 General Election Projection
Posted Saturday, June 4, at 6:01 PM

Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com A new week and a new change. After losing North Carolina last week in the polling to Trump, Clinton gains Missouri just slightly over Trump. The available polls are below: Missouri: Trump goes from up 5 to down 2. There have only been three polls released in the state but for now it will be a lean Hillary state...

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Week 2 2016 General Election Projection
Posted Monday, May 30, at 9:16 PM

Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com Just a quick update. Out of the toss up states only one has seen a change and that's North Carolina. Last week North Carolina was a slated as a safe state for Clinton. One week, and two polls later, and the state has now gone into the lean Trump category...

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Week 1 2016 General Election Projection
Posted Wednesday, May 18, at 6:24 PM

Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com Now that is all but a certainty that the match-up this November will be between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump I am going to attempt to post an update every week. Initially it will be a little slow going as we still only have a handful of states doing polling at this time...

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Oregon and Kentucky Primaries
Posted Tuesday, May 17, at 2:00 PM

There is not a lot to say about the two primaries today as there has been virtually no polling in either state. Experts believe that Sanders should win Oregon in a route, similar to Washington, Alaska, and Hawaii. They also give him the edge in Kentucky due to the demographics...

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How the Polls Performed
Posted Wednesday, May 11, at 3:33 PM

Many people have lamented the bad polling in the primaries for both parties this year. I am counted among those. Where I differed is that many who believed that polling had proved to be wrong were of the believe that Donald Trump had severely been under represented in the polls (in other words that his actual number in the primaries were much higher than what the polling suggested)...

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West Virginia Primary
Posted Tuesday, May 10, at 11:37 AM

We are down to just one race; the Democratic Primary between Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton. Or are we? There have been rumors swirling that if Ted Cruz wins Nebraska today he would restart his presidential campaign. I personally doubt it either way but it would make for a great story...

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A Way to Early Look at the 2016 General Election
Posted Thursday, May 5, at 2:46 PM

Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com First things first, the general election is still half a year away. Donald Trump is the presumptive nominee of the Republican Party after John Kasich and Ted Cruz dropped out of the race. Hillary Clinton is in the lead of the Democratic Party so this is going to be a cursory glance at the probable match up for the 2016 General Election...

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Indiana Primary
Posted Monday, May 2, at 5:47 PM

This week is an extremely light week of primaries with Republicans only having the Indiana primary and Democrats having the Indiana primary and the Guam primary on Saturday. There are 57 delegates up for grabs in Indiana. This is a winner take all contest so whoever wins, whether it is by 1 point or 20 gets all of the delegates. There are 92 delegates up for grabs for Democrats in Indiana and 12 in Guam...

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April Super Tuesday
Posted Monday, April 25, at 10:39 PM

April 26 is the biggest day of primaries in April. There are four contests in both parties consisting of Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Connecticut, Maryland, and Delaware. The Democratic primary continues its slugfest down the stretch. At this point in the Republican primary Donald Trump is the only candidate that can reach the nomination before the convention. ...

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New York Primary
Posted Monday, April 18, at 10:39 AM

Tomorrow marks among the biggest primary gains for both parties in a single contest. On the Republican side there are 95 delegates up for grabs, while on the Democratic side 247 delegates are up for grabs. I have been keeping track of the delegates all season long and after looking at several different places that also keep track of the delegate count I have decided to match my delegate count as close to www.fivethirtyeight.com as possible. ...

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Wisconsin Primary
Posted Tuesday, April 5, at 8:49 AM

Today is the day that we see if the Bernie Roll continues or is stopped in it's tracks. Today will also see if Ted Cruz can mount a serious campaign against Donald Trump and close his gap. First, however, just some housecleaning when it comes to the delegate count. I have put all of the delegates down to make sure that I am reporting them to you as correct as possible...

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Feel the Bern
Posted Tuesday, March 29, at 10:30 AM

So, today (with a week before the next primary), I have decided to endorse Bernie Sanders for President. Looking at the five remaining candidates the two Democrats stand the best chance of becoming president. Both Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders defeat the Republicans with ease in polling that has been performed. ...

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Primary Housecleaning
Posted Sunday, March 27, at 5:30 PM

With this week being an off week for both parties (the next primary is the Wisconsin primary on April 5. North Dakota is technically up next for the Republicans on April 3 but since their delegates are not bound until the convention it does not got into the totals) I have decided to do a little housecleaning with the current delegates to make sure that everything is as up to date as possible...

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The Last March Primaries
Posted Monday, March 21, at 10:34 PM

Tuesday, March 22 and Saturday, March 26 mark the last primaries for the month of March. The Republicans have two while the Democrats have six. First, a little house cleaning. The vote has finally come in from Democrats Abroad and Bernie Sanders has his most decisive win yet. He won the vote 69-31% with Bernie picking up 9 delegates to Clinton's 4...

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The Case Against Trump and Cruz
Posted Sunday, March 20, at 10:29 PM

With the primary season about to come to a crawl as there is not a lot of delegates to hand out in April as compared to what we have seen in March and what is coming in June I thought I would delve into some of the politics. Republicans in the remaining states have a very difficult choice to make in the coming months. ...

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And Now for Something Completely Different
Michael Hendricks
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Big Brother Week 1 Update
(0 ~ 9:52 PM, Jun 30)

Week 6 General Election Projection
(0 ~ 9:10 PM, Jun 24)

Weeks 4&5 2016 General Election Projection
(5 ~ 8:54 PM, Jun 24)

How the Polls Performed Part 2 - Democrats
(0 ~ 2:51 PM, Jun 8)

Final Super Tuesday Primary
(0 ~ 11:34 AM, Jun 8)