Week 19 General Election Profection

Georgia is now out of the toss up states as Trump's lead has blossomed above 5 points.

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Toss-Up States

Missouri

Four new polls this week saw Trump's decrease slightly. His lead is 4.81 in 32 polls 42.94-38.13. Just as last week, Trump lead in three of the four polls this week with comfortable enough margins that his lead only dipped a little.

Florida

Seven new polls this week. Clinton's lead shrunk more to 1.49 in 75 polls 43.64-42.15. Clinton lead in 4 of the 7 polls, with leads of 4, 5, 3, and 2. In the three polls that Trump lead his leads were 3, 7, and 1.

Arizona

Five polls this week saw Trump's leads shrink to 1.37 in 38 polls 41.13-39.76. Trump lead in two of the polls, Clinton in two, and tie in a third. Trump's largest lead was 10, Clinton's largest lead was 6. Something to watch is that Clinton lead the last two polls.

Ohio

Six new polls this week in Ohio. Clinton lead shrinks to 0.78 in 57 polls 41.12-40.34. Clinton lead in four of the six polls, but Trump's lead of 11 has mitigated Clinton's gains.

Nevada

Six new polls this week saw Trump's lead shrink further to 0.27 in 38 polls 40.61-40.34.Trump only lead in one poll this week that actually came out at the end of September (before the debate). Since that time Clinton has lead in two polls and the other two were tied. The other poll conducted before Trump's lead was also a Clinton lead.

North Carolina

Seven polls this week saw Clinton's lead shrink to 0.27. Her lead in 62 polls is now at 42.32-42.05. Just as in Ohio, Clinton lead in the majority of the polls but the two Trump lead in were 4 and 11.

Iowa

Three new polls this week saw Trump's moment stall as Clinton was able to increase her lead to 0.25 in 40 polls 39.75-39.5. Clinton lead in two of the three polls by significant margins of 8 and 9.

Northeast

SAFE

Maryland - Clinton lead up to 52.58-28.38 (lead was 24.05 up to 24.2)
New York - Clinton lead down to 50.41-31.86 (lead was 18.73 down to 18.55)
Massachusetts - Clinton lead up to 51.16-28.88 (lead was 21.95 up to 22.78)
Vermont - Clinton lead down to 49.29-22.36 (lead was 27.08 down to 26.93)
DC - Clinton lead up to 56.1-20.8(lead was 29.5 up to 35.3)
Maine D-1 - Clinton unchanged at 47.5-30.5(lead remains at 17)
Rhode Island - Clinton lead up to 44.54-29.77(lead was 13.8 up to 14.77)

LIKELY

Delaware - Clinton lead up to 41.61-29.94 (lead was 9.57 up to 11.67)
New Jersey - Clinton lead up to 45.52-34.52 (lead was 10.67 up to 11)
Connecticut - Clinton lead up to 45.67-33.95 (lead was 11.11 up to 11.72)
New Hampshire - Clinton lead up to 43.72-37.42 (lead was 6.14 up to 6.3)
LEAN

Maine D-2 - Trump lead down to 41.88-37.25 (lead was 6.16 down to 4.63).
Pennsylvania - Clinton lead down to 44.03-39.63(lead was 4.49 down to 4.44)

Southeast

SAFE

Louisiana - Trump lead down to 50.64-32.68 (lead was 18.42 down to 17.96)
Alabama - Trump lead up to 53.64-30.41 (lead was 24.7 up to 25)
West Virginia - Trump lead up to 49.3-32.22 (lead was 15.41 up to 17.08)
Mississippi - Trump lead down to 51.8-31.9 (lead was 21.06 down to 19.9)
Tennessee - Trump down to (lead was 17 down to 16.09)

LIKELY

Georgia - Trump lead at 44.5-39.13 (Trump up 5.37
Arkansas - Trump lead up to 47.05-35.24 (lead was 11.16 up to 11.81)
Kentucky - Trump lead up to 45.43-34.71 (lead was 10.13 up to 10.72)
Virginia - Clinton lead up to 43.61-36.33 (lead was 7.05 up to 7.28)
South Carolina - Trump lead up to 45.52-37.59 (lead was 7.67 up to 7.93)

MIDWEST

SAFE

Illinois - Clinton lead up to 46.74-31.9 (lead was 14.31 up to 14.84)

LIKELY

Indiana - Trump lead down to 44.85-35.12 (lead was 9.98 down to 9.73)
Michigan - Clinton lead down to 41.93-36.39 (lead was 5.56 down to 5.54)
Wisconsin - Clinton lead down to 43.68-35.9 (lead was 7.86 down to 7.78)
Minnesota - Clinton lead down to 41.78-33.48 (lead was 8.55 down to 8.3)

PLAINS

SAFE

Oklahoma - Trump lead up to 49.14-29.43 (lead was 19.28 up to 19.71)
North Dakota - Trump lead up to 47.17-25.92 (lead was 21.2 up to 21.25)
Nebraska D-1- Trump unchanged at 53-29 (up 24)
Nebraska D-3- Trump unchanged at 65-20 (up 45)

LIKELY

Texas - Trump lead up to 44.08-33.48 (lead was 10.28 up to 10.6)
South Dakota - Trump lead up to 40.69-31.54 (lead was 8.7 up to 9.15)
Nebraska D-2- Trump unchanged at 49-40 (up 9)
Kansas - Trump lead up to 42.32-37.2 (lead was 4.52 up to 5.12)

MOUNTAINS

SAFE

Wyoming - Trump lead down to 49.75-22.75 (lead was 27.2 down to 27)
Idaho - Trump lead up to 47.91-26.77 (lead was 20.32 up to 21.14)

LIKELY

Montana - Trump lead up to43.53-33.82 (lead was 9.08 up to 9.71)
Colorado - Clinton lead up to 41.47-36.61 (lead was 4.64 up to 4.86)
New Mexico - Clinton lead up to 40.5-33.65 (lead was 5.73 up to 6.85)
Utah - Trump lead up to 38.45-28.34 (lead was 8.92 up to 10.11)

PACIFIC

SAFE

California - Clinton lead up to 52.73-30.18 (lead was 22.3 up to 22.55)
Hawaii - Clinton lead up to 50-25.55 (lead was 21.55 up to 24.45)

LIKELY

Oregon - Clinton lead down to 44.04-33.8 (lead was 11.85 down to 10.24)
Washington - Clinton lead up to 45.08-31.79 (lead was 13.05 up to 13.29)
Alaska - Trump lead down to 40.31-31.81 (lead was 10 down to 8.5)

WITH ONLY POLLS INCLUDING JOHNSON

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