Final Super Tuesday Primary

We have made it all the way to the end of the primary season. Despite what the media tells you neither race has a presumptive candidate yet. Donald Trump has not yet hit the magic number of pledged delegates though he will hit it today. He is currently sitting at 1,144 delegates and needs to reach 1,237 to clinch the nomination. Hillary Clinton also has not reached the magic number. She currently has 1,811 delegates and needs to reach 2,026 pledged delegates to clinch the nomination.

Both parties have races in the same states today, New Jersey, North Dakota, South Dakota, Montana, New Mexico, and California.

For the Democrats the two largest delegate grabs are New Jersey (126) and California (475). Both races are essentially over but today should see both candidates clinch.

Polling has only been done in two states. In New Jersey Clinton leads handedly over Bernie 58-37% on average and 61-34% in the last poll released on June 4. According to 538 Clinton has more than a 99% chance to win the state.

In California Clinton's lead has been shrinking over the past several weeks but she has continued to lead. She leads 48-44% on average and 49-47% in the last poll released on June 4th. According to 538 Clinton has an 89% chance of winning the state. On May 23 she had a 98% chance of winning the state, so while the confidence in her win has decreased she is still expected to win.

I would expect Sanders to win North Dakota, South Dakota, and Montana and Hillary to win New Jersey, New Mexico, and California.

7:15 PM:

Hillary has been declared the winner of the New Jersey primary. No surprise here.

9:45 PM:

North Dakota has been called for Bernie Sanders. In a bit of a surprise this may be the only state he wins tonight as he is trailing in South Dakota (by 1,272 votes), New Mexico (by just under 6,000 votes) and Montana (by just under 3,000 votes).

California closes next at 10:00 PM CT.

10:00 PM:

Clinton has been declared the winner in New Mexico.

10:45 PM:

In quite a shock Clinton has won South Dakota. She leads by a large margin in California (much greater than any of the polls suggested), and Montana (but that lead is miniscule).

1:45 AM:

After some time, Bernie Sanders has been declared the winner of Montana. The votes are still coming in from California but Hillary Clinton has a lead of just under 400,000 votes.

RESULTS AND DELEGATE UPDATE:

Hillary Clinton did win the California primary last night and it was not even close.

New Jersey: