High: 86°F ~ Low: 63°F
Saturday, June 25, 2016
A Review of Past PredictionsPosted Sunday, February 12, 2012, at 3:11 PM
Over the last few months many predictions have been made by both myself and the other political blogger on this site. Since this is a lazy Sunday I thought I would review many of those predictions. I will start with mine which can be found at:
The second link will take you to my predictions that I made in April. I made the prediction then that Mike Huckabee would win the Republican nomination but would lose the general election to President Obama. Thanks to Huckabee choosing the money offered by Fox News and deciding not to enter the race at all that original prediction turned out to be drastically wrong.
After Iowans went to the polls in January I made another prediction which is the first link. Within days and weeks of the Iowa Caucus, Rick Perry and John Huntsmann had dropped out of the race. Michelle Bachmann who had won the Iowa Straw Poll dropped out within days of the Iowa Caucus. Despite the wins by Santorum last week in the Midwest, Romney still has the lead in the delegate count and at the end of the day the delegates is all that matters.
Some may focus on one sentence in the most recent blog where I said that, "Despite the closeness of the caucus last night I still believe as I have from the beginning that Romney is the front runner and will go on to win the nomination." and point out that in my April blog I had said that Romney would not win. That is true but I did believe him to be the frontrunner at the time and the only person I believed that could beat him never entered the race.
Rick Santorum recently stated that the Republican race was a two person race and I completely agree with him. The race is between him and Mitt Romney. Newt Gingrich and Ron Paul are nothing more than side shows at this point. Gingrich has only won one state and it is in the vicinity of his home state. Ron Paul has yet to win a state and in the age of delegates a bunch of close finishes and distant thirds does little to help his chances.
At this point the total delegate (those that have been assigned) stand at:
Romney - 84
Gingrich - 29
Santorum - 14
Paul - 11
The reason that Santorum's count is not higher is because Missouri would assign their delegates until March. It is a very confusing process that much I will say.
Let us take a look at Same Eldridge's predictions that he made in his blog:
His very first prediction about race becoming an issue but he was completely wrong about which side would bring it up. Within days of his prediction than Republican candidate Herman Cain played the race card.
See here is the kicker what Sam completely ignores in his bold prediction is that it has been the right side that has been so focused on race. On the left we typically call out racism when we see it (it is not very hard to see) but on the right and especially in Sam's case they blur that line and just charge Democrats with always pulling the race card while at the same time completely ignoring when their own people do the same thing.
Most of his other predictions are completely unveriafable and completely just made up. One point I would like to discuss before I move on is his baffling charge that only Republican women have been subjected. He somehow completely forgets to mention the times he has smeared and lied about what Secretary of State Clinton and Representative Pelosi have done in his own blog. Either he has a double standard where Republican women are always above reproach and he can say whatever he wants about Democratic women or he was hoping that no one would notice that he was talking out of both sides of his mouth on that issue.
My favorite is his prediction at number seven. When he posted this the economy was only starting to improve and job numbers were increasing so he covered himself and said that any numbers that were positive from that point out were nothing but lies. It must be nice to live in the land of make believe. Since his posting in September every month has seen an increase in job numbers and a decrease in the jobless number.
Number 10 is very interesting in that since his posting the very fraudulent "journalist" James O'Keefe videotaped himself attempting to fraudulently vote in the New Hampshire primary which is a federal crime and the Secretary of State of Indiana (a Republican) has been convicted of voter fraud. Then again this is the same man who had no issues with President Bush's win in 2000 but believes that Obama winning the 2008 election by almost 10 million votes was nothing but a scam and that Obama stole the election. He has no proof and has offered no proof but do not ask him for proof because he will simply call you some nice little names and just move on like the question was never asked.
Then there came his "the sky is falling" proclamations which he went ahead and told you that he was completely right on. The problem there is that America has not fallen into the depths. The economy is improving and people are starting to get jobs again. The only doomsdayers appear to be completely on the right who apparently believe that if all of us do not completely cow-tow to their demands we are considered the enemy. You do not believe me? Check out this line from Sam's own blog:
"but a growing number of Americans appear to love Socialism"
He can not fathom or wrap his brain around the idea that Americans not only like but accept what Obama wants to do so he just calls them Socialists and writes them off. Republicans are so vested in the failure of President Obama that they are willing to let the economy crash and burn. During the Super Bowl, Chrysler ran a non-political ad featuring Clint Eastwood. Republicans led by their leaders, Fox News, and the right-wing blogosphere went crazy with anger over the ad. Clint Eastwood is a life-long Republican. You can bet your bottom dollar that Sam will never watch a movie with Eastwood again.
Here is the thing. Republicans that are like Sam see any progress that happens under Obama as a bad thing and will not stop at any length to demonize anyone who dares show any support for anything Obama does.
The American people, seemingly, have already grown tired of it. People like Sam are not the majority no matter how much they mash their teeth, stomp their feet, and yell at you about how they are.
A recent poll conducted for World Net Daily (a conservative website) showed that 1 out of 5 Republicans were either voting for or considering voting for President Obama.
That is not good for people like Sam, who for the last three years, have been trying to scare Republicans into submission and vote the way they want them to vote.
It is also funny as much as Sam wants to talk about Democrats constantly playing the race card every time he mentions Obama at some point he calls him a messiah. I am pretty sure there is something in the Bible about false prophets, Sam. But hey if you know the Bible as well as you know the Qur'an ... um nevermind.
By the way Sam I take your bet that not a single one of your predictions will come true. Unlike you I live in reality, I don't see scary figures at every corner I take. In fact, I'll up the ante. If every single one of your predictions come true I will buy you the 72 oz steak in Texas.
Many of you will see this as nothing more than a hit blog directed at Sam. Oddly the exact same people who will take umbrage to me taking Sam to task have never taken issue with Sam doing the same to me, so in the end what you think does not really matter, for the most part these people are nothing more than trolls and flamers.
Showing comments in chronological order
[Show most recent comments first]
Respond to this blog
Posting a comment requires free registration:
And Now for Something Completely Different
- Blog RSS feed
- Comments RSS feed
Hot topicsWeek 6 General Election Projection
(0 ~ 9:10 PM, Jun 24)
Weeks 4&5 2016 General Election Projection
How the Polls Performed Part 2 - Democrats
Final Super Tuesday Primary
Week 3 2016 General Election Projection