As we begin the push towards the mid term election in November there is a big yell to get the crooks out of Washington. Democrats for their part are feverishly working to at the very least get something done so that when November does come around they can hopefully, in their minds, be able to tell the people that they at least got something done and with any hope they will be elected. They were able to get the stimulus bill through and while it hasn't exactly created any jobs it has for the moment stopped the bleeding of jobs and the states have gotten some very much needed money to help create some jobs.
The Republican Party on the other hand has spent a year voting no on every single bill that comes across for a vote. Their zest to vote against anything that the Obama Administration or Congressional Democrats support has gotten so out of hand they are now opposing many measures that they have been wanting to get past for at least the last 20 years.
The American public is sick of Congress they aren't fond of the Democrats but they are absolutely sick of the obstructionism coming out of the Republican Party. Americans are now in favor by majorities for the Democrats to use reconciliation and even just completely changing the rules to either do away with filibusters or lower the number of votes it takes to kill a filibuster. This is not a good sign for the Republicans but for their part they simply are not paying attention to the public and have let the "say no just to say no" leadership continue. It's gotten so bad (and this is a rehash from an earlier blog) that a few weeks ago there was a bipartisan commission proposed that would focus on bringing down the deficit. Seven Republicans signed on as cosponsors. In his State of the Union address Obama announced that he supported this commission. A few days later the committee that was in charge of forming the committee voted to create the commission. The Republicans voted en masse to defeat the committee, including the seven Republicans that co-sponsored it.
The candidates that come out of the primary season will go a long way to determine if the Democratic Party keeps the majority or if the Republican Party takes over. This summer will go even further in deciding that. If the Democratic Party can solidify their message and point to the fact that the Republican Party prevented the recession from ending sooner by voting no on everything they will keep the majority. If the Republican Party can solidify a message they will win the majority. They have to pick a message though. Right now they are trying to run on multiple messages and it will confuse voters.
For all the talk of the Tea Parties I do not see them deciding much of anything. There will be a few states (mostly in the south) that will get a few Tea Party candidates into elected office but the Tea Party is really a regional entity and it's southern. The one true candidate to date that was endorsed by the Tea Party lost in a conservative district.
There's been a slew of retirements and not running announcements in both houses but Republicans lead that by a slim margin and it's not likely those vacated seats will exchange parties.
I would like to throw a cog in there. Americans are tired of the group of people that are in Congress right now, all of them, not just the Democrats or Republicans but all of them. It is my opinion that we are going to see a huge sweep in the fall but at this early of a time I don't see the Democratic Party losing either house. I think the majority in the Senate will sink down to nil with the Democrats holding a one to two seat margin but in the House I **don't** see the Republicans gaining a majority there **or even getting close**.
I could be wrong though and only time will tell. This mid term election is already shaping up to be an exciting one from a political junkie point of view.