Opinion

One year after stock market 12-year low, economic indicators are cause for optimism.

Monday, March 15, 2010

The economic turmoil that rumbled through our country after September 2008 was certainly one of the toughest times we've ever faced as Americans. It is easy today to remember what we felt when economists warned we might be headed into a major economic depression the likes of which we hadn't seen in decades. Most of us felt worried.

Twice since then, Congress had stepped in to try to avert that economic catastrophe by providing financial assistance for failing corporations sought by the Bush Administration and with the jobs, tax cuts and stimulus bill sought by the Obama Administration. The bill has provided a positive impact for Nebraskans in job creation, as well as tax relief that is keeping $6.7 million a week in their pockets from the Making Work Pay tax credit.

Congressional Action Helped Avert Crisis

I've had some concerns about how the Troubled Asset Relief Program, or TARP, funds were spent as well as concerns about the large bonuses given to some of the financial wizards who put our economy in a ditch. I also am not satisfied with the somewhat slow pace of spending to support stimulus projects nationwide. A quicker payout would have meant more jobs saved and created, and more economic activity in communities across Nebraska.

But if you compare a series of leading economic indicators from year to year, it's hard not to conclude that the steps Congress and two administrations took paid off.

Stock Market Hit 12-Year Low a Year Ago

America has pulled back from the brink. Today, we no longer use the "D" word for depression but instead use the "R" word, for recession in discussing our economy. By some measures, the change began on March 9, 2009. That was the day the Stock Market hit a 12-year low and bottomed out.

That day, after six months of economic decline in the fall and winter, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell to 6,547.05. All 30 of the major companies in the Dow showed declines. Since then, the economic outlook has picked up, enabling the Stock Market to recover much of its loss. On March 9 this year, the Dow stood at 10,564.38.

Back in February 2009, the national unemployment rate stood at 8.1 percent, while in Nebraska the picture was better with an unemployment rate of 4.3 percent. A year later, the national unemployment rate is down a bit from its high of 10 percent, now at 9.7 percent, which is still far too high and must be addressed this year. A year ago, more than 645,000 Americans filed for jobless benefits in February, a number that edged down to 471,000 this past month.

Nebraska's February unemployment rate isn't yet available but the January rate was 4.6 percent, reflecting that Nebraskans in general feel the effects of recessions less than many other Americans.

Home Sales and Consumer Purchases Are Up

Across our country, the outlook for home sales also perked up, from 4.08 million single family homes sold and 4.53 million existing family homes sold in January 2009, compared to 4.43 million single family and 5.05 million existing homes sold this January.

With a sense that the worst had passed, Americans bought more at stores and restaurants, pumping money into the economy. Retail and food sales estimates, which were $313.5 billion in January 2009, rose to $355.8 billion a year later.

Rising consumer purchases tracked with a reduction of business inventories. The sales of inventories were $20 billion greater this January, a total of $346.7 billion, than January 2009 when they totaled $326 billion.

We've Turned the Corner

These facts tell a story that should encourage many Nebraskans because they seem to show that we have turned the corner. Today we have hope the recession will eventually wind down and talk of an economic meltdown is a thing of the past. Working together as neighbors, friends and fellow Nebraskans we can help return our state and country to prosperity.

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  • Great Job Ben.

    We have turned the corner.

    If Health Care passes and the market collapses and unemployment doesn't improve it will all be your fault.

    If the opposite happens you get all the credit.

    I hope 20 years from now you are remembered fondly.

    -- Posted by wallismarsh on Tue, Mar 16, 2010, at 8:00 AM
  • Many economists are wondering what will happen when the stimulus money runs out. We are hardly out of the woods yet some indicators may be showing a slight upturn but hardly a full blown recovery. Unemployment is still at over 9%.

    -- Posted by Chaco1 on Tue, Mar 16, 2010, at 10:26 AM
  • news.yahoo.com/s/usnw/20100321/pl_usnw/DC74083_1

    Sen. Nelson - The party of death. Not my words.

    -- Posted by wallismarsh on Sun, Mar 21, 2010, at 7:38 PM
  • -- Posted by wallismarsh on Sun, Mar 21, 2010, at 7:39 PM
  • Well the myth of the pro-life democrat has been exposed for what it is a lie. Party trumps person in any national election.

    -- Posted by Chaco1 on Mon, Mar 22, 2010, at 6:46 PM
  • Good call Ben. Where is the giddiness now?

    -- Posted by wallismarsh on Fri, May 28, 2010, at 6:00 AM
  • But But it's Bushs fault.

    -- Posted by Chaco1 on Sat, May 29, 2010, at 6:44 AM
  • Pretty sad when I am smarter the Sen. Nelson.

    Higher taxes coming thanks to Bens vote on Health Insurance.

    You are going to kill the economy Sir!

    But go on blaming other people.

    -- Posted by wallismarsh on Mon, Jun 7, 2010, at 11:30 AM
  • Unemployment still how. Fragile economy. Higher taxes coming. That darn internet. Ben you were and are wrong.

    -- Posted by wallismarsh on Wed, Jun 23, 2010, at 9:29 PM
  • Numbers look pretty bleak. Don't toot your horn to soon.

    -- Posted by wallismarsh on Mon, Jun 28, 2010, at 8:26 PM
  • Unemployment still high. Stock market not making new highs. Taxes still going up.

    Instead of wasting the last 2 years should have focused on fixing the economy. Why was that ignored?

    -- Posted by wallismarsh on Fri, Sep 24, 2010, at 6:33 AM
  • The stock market is making new highs now that Democrats have been kicked out of the house. Hopefully, The Democrats will not let taxes go up next year. The Health Care bill that Sen. Nelson could have killed is still a "stigma" on the economy and a potential job killer if left in present form.

    Stock market may make a run to 1350 by January 2011. Oil prices could test the $100 mark by Feb, 2011.

    That inflation along with Democrats stalling recovery could mean a terrible stock market late in 2011 and into 2012.

    Ben - you are probably going to lose your re-election bid. Was Obama worth it? He was all hype and NO substance.

    It is sad you fell for him

    -- Posted by wallismarsh on Thu, Nov 4, 2010, at 7:11 PM
  • My last call on the market was right.

    Now a debt downgrade.

    -- Posted by wallismarsh on Sun, Aug 7, 2011, at 5:29 AM
  • And thanks to the teabaggers for now a total of over 900 points down on the dow, and possibly another downgrade on the credit rating. Boy those freshman teabaggers did a fine job.

    -- Posted by goarmy67 on Mon, Aug 8, 2011, at 9:22 AM
  • Its funny you react that way Wondering70. Like a belligerent child who was caught smoking, you now have to answer for your actions and deal with the consequences. Actually, its not funny you react that way, its expected. Not only did someone with a more rational mind tell you what was going to happen, now that it did, you are trying to say that it is not your fault. Typical of your ilk.

    -- Posted by speak-e-z on Mon, Aug 8, 2011, at 11:42 AM
  • *

    Wondering70 exemplifies the worst type of political animal - misinformed and beligerent.

    Exactly how did the TeaParty (your warning sir on using the derogatory term that you used...you should know better) affect the stockmarket? Exactly how did they influence buyers and sellers to drive down the market?

    (toe-tapping in expectation of a surely coherent answer)

    -- Posted by Mickel on Mon, Aug 8, 2011, at 9:21 PM
  • *

    The supposition that the TEA party is the cause of the economic unrest is interesting. The TEA party has at other times been made out to be just a few extremists. Well, if it is both, perhaps we should just bow down and do what they ask, eh? Obviously they have far more power than anyone would suspect. I for one welcome our new overlords, please don't hurt me. :P

    I find the demonization of a group of people just for having an opinion wrong. Individuals, fine. There are some nutjobs out there. But when you try and lump people together and "cry burn the witch!" I tend to get uppity.

    P.S. The first paragraph was in jest. Please unbind your undergarments if they were manipulated into an uncomfortable arrangement.

    -- Posted by Sir Didymus on Mon, Aug 8, 2011, at 10:30 PM
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